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redditRigged matchmaking ? - Matchup visualization for 3 of the most popular decks in CR : logbait , pekka bridge spam and hog 2.6 in the trophy range of 5.2k to 6k (1st img from 5.2k to 5.3k , 2nd img from 5.3k to 5.4k and so on .... more details in the


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Rigged matchmaking ? - Matchup visualization for 3 of the most popular decks in CR : logbait , pekka bridge spam and hog 2.6 in the trophy range of 5.2k to 6k (1st img from 5.2k to 5.3k , 2nd img from 5.3k to 5.4k and so on .... more details in the description)

Using the data from here (only from 3rd January - 3 million matches), I visualized the matchups for 3 of the most popular decks in CR : logbait , pekka bridge spam and hog 2.6 in the trophy range of 5.2k to 6k using a step of 100. (1st img visualizes data from 5.2k to 5.3k , 2nd img from 5.3k to 5.4k and so on)

The first four columns General, Pekka, Hog, and Logbait show how likely (in %) are you to play vs the card on the left in general or when you play pekka bridge spam ,hog 2.6 , logbait. If matchmaking is random, then these four numbers should be more or less the same. That's not the case!

The Chi-square test was performed to test if the % numbers differ significantly. This test shows how confident (p-value) are we that the % numbers from the Pekka, hog, logbait columns differ from the general %.

(you can say with 95%+ confidence that you are more likely to go vs whats highlighted in green and less likely to go vs whats highlighted in red).

5.2k - 5.3k

5.3k - 5.4k

5.4k - 5.5k

5.5k - 5.6k

5.6k - 5.7k

5.7k-5.8k

5.8k-5.9k

5.9k-6k

Conclusions:

There are a lot of significant results from the tables which are a clear indication that matchmaking is not random. If it's rigged it is another matter .. it could be that the % differences are due to the loser's pool (players on a losing streak go vs each other), but I highly doubt that.

submitted by /u/Skill-Bow
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